Monday, April 6, 2020

Hospitalization projections too high, data show

White House model too high, data show
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/coronavirus/white-houses-coronavirus-model-has-overestimated-tens-thousands 

But tracking site concedes that its numbers are low because not all data are being reported.

Actual numbers
https://covidtracking.com/data 

HospitalizedIn ICUOn Ventilator
PositiveNegativePendingCurrentlyCumulativeCurrentlyCumulativeCurrentlyCumulativeRecoveredDeathsTotal test results(Positive + Negative)
334,4871,450,91917,32927,06941,7575,4979221,81219314,5989,5861,785,406

We report current and cumulative numbers provided by states, supplemented by trusted press sources. Because some states only report "Current" numbers, the nationwide "Current" numbers can be higher than that of the reported "Cumulative" totals. We know, of course, that the true cumulative numbers are much higher, but we can only report the numbers we have access to. We are actively working with states to request that they expand their reporting
Model's projections
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Resources needed for COVID-19 patients on peak date
All beds needed
140,823beds

Bed shortage
36,654beds

ICU beds needed
29,210beds

ICU bed shortage
16,323beds

Invasive ventilators needed
24,828ventilators

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