Saturday, March 28, 2020

Suicide surge stuns mayor

Wonders whether shutdowns are counterproductive

From WATE News
The Knox County Regional Forensic Center examined nine suspected suicides just in the last 48 hours, eight from Knox County, according to Knox County Mayor Glenn Jacobs.

He talked about the spike in suicides during the taping of his weekly Friday Update, which was not available online via Google's Chrome browser as of 9:30 p.m. Saturday.

"We have to determine how we can respond to Covid-19 in a way that keeps our economy intact, keeps people employed and empowers them with a feeling of hope and optimism – not desperation and despair," Jacobs is quoted as saying.

These autopsies amount to roughly 10 percent of last year’s total within Knox County, according to a news release from the mayor. In 2019, the medical examiner performed autopsies for 199 confirmed or suspected suicides from across the region with 83 coming specifically from Knox County, the release said.

“That number is completely shocking," the mayor said.

Jacobs' remarks echo the sentiments of a number of public officials who fear the tough measures will backfire. President Trump has sent a letter to governors outlining a new strategy in which hot zones will be the focus of much attention and intervention with an easing of restrictions elsewhere. Such an approach is said to be possible if widespread testing is used in order to permit authorities to use traditional trace and contact methods used to contain outbreaks.

Knox County officials reported a total of 30 positive local cases on the health department web site Friday.

The mayor held a Twitter dialogue on the potential downside of shutdowns.

Glenn Jacobs @GlennJacobsTN

Questions for @neil_ferguson

How long must a lockdown/shelter-in-place order be in place to be effective? What are the criteria for lifting such an order? If #Covid_19 spreads after the order is lifted, does the process being again?

Glenn Jacobs @GlennJacobsTN

Does your model account for deaths due to the negative impacts of a lockdown/shelter-in-place? Is there any way to determine a cost-benefit in terms of the number of lives and quality of life over the short-, mid-, and long-terms?

David @Ted246_

Replying to @GlennJacobsTN

Glenn, I’ve wondered the same thing myself. Boris here has called for 3 weeks lockdown. I don’t think it will go down in that time. Surely, once it’s relaxed rates will continue to rise. I can see lockdown lasting 9-12 months. Is that sustainable? I’m doubtful

Joel Kegel @kegel6784

Replying to @GlennJacobsTN

I’ve been wondering the same thing, not just for where I live, but all over the country. We can’t go on like this too much longer or we will cause another pandemic of starvation and small business closures

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